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Thirty Five Million Thursday – 2 Months of Rising Unemployment

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Unemployed New Yorkers Demonstrate Photograph by Everett35M people have lost their jobs in 60 days.

The way stores and restaurants are opening, with limited customers allowed in and limited seating – getting back to normal isn't normal at all. “We have a situation where people and families in every part of the country are facing this unprecedented crisis, and they are looking for relief,” said Congresswoman Pramila Jayapal yesterday, where she co-sponsored a bill with Josh Hawley (R-MO) to guarantee incomes during this pandemic.  “This is a proposal with broad support that should be taken seriously,” she added. “What are we waiting for? Are we waiting for unemployment to reach 50 percent?

The only reason we're not seeing people marching and protesting like they did in the Great Depression demainding Government Support is because they can't leave their homes.  35M people is 10% of our country but it's 20% of our work-force and we didn't start from zero unemployment – this is a dire situation and things are starting to unravel and, once again, we are being met with a big ball of dysfunctional incompetence from the Administration. 

See, I didn't say TRUMP Administration so you can pretend any Administration could have F'd America over this badly.  The Hoover Administration was about as incompetent as the Trump Administration.  In fact, with promises of high tariffs and low taxes – you can see that Trump pretty much just copied Hoover's playbook – including kicking off the country's second Great Depression:

Political Ad for Herbert Hoover called "A Chicken for Every Pot"

Losing the jobs couldn't be helped, they are a  result of the Lockdown Policy which was a rational response to the virus but the WAY we are losing the jobs should have been helped.  Wages in the US are $6Tn per year or $500Bn per month and you can see what kind of money the Government is throwing around so the question is – why couldn't they simply throw some at the workers?  Just give the workers $1Tn while they take two months off and there is ZERO damage to Consumer Spending Power which, in turn, drives the economy.  

Of course there would be some things consumers wouldn't spend on, like Retail, Restaurants, Travel and Live Entertainment but then we could have compensated JUST those industries and it would have cost half as much as we have spent on this ineffective mess of a bailaout already.  

 

IN PROGRESS

 

 



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Share Market

The IPOX® Week, June 1, 2020

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  • Everything IPOX records big returns during May as investors flock to the New Generation of stocks.
  • FANG-free, broad-based IPOX 100 U.S. (ETF: FPX) jumps +11.26%. Diversified IPOX International (ETF: FPXI) rises to +14.33% YTD, closes week at fresh all-time high.
  • JDE Peet’s strong Amsterdam debut, ZoomInfo lined up.

Everything IPOX records big returns during May as investors flock to the New Generation of stocks. Amid stable U.S. yields, lower equity risk (VIX: -2.31%), geo-political jitters, declining global anxiety over Covid-19 and the S&P 500 (SPX) zooming through big technical resistance, IPOX finished May with another strong showing, with multiple Indexes closing out the month at or near all-time highs. In the U.S., e.g., the FANG-free, broad-based IPOX 100 U.S. (ETF: FPX) jumped +3.28% last week to gain +11.26% during May, a massive +673 bps. ahead of the S&P 500 (SPX), benchmark for U.S. stocks. The IPOX 100 U.S. (ETF: FPX) also finished out the month by recording its first positive YTD close since Feb. 26, 2020, as late-day positioning amid previously delayed index rebalancing’s propelled IPOX holdings which are typically underrepresented in the benchmarks. 88% of portfolio constituents rose during May, with the equally-weighted average (median) stock adding a massive +13.96% (+11.52%), ahead of the applied market-cap weighted IPOX 100 U.S. (ETF: FPX) and underlying the big strength in small- and mid-cap specialty exposure in light of a good month for the Russell 2000 (RTY), which gained +6.36% to -16.45% YTD.

Diversified IPOX International (ETF: FPXI) rises to +14.33% YTD, closes week at fresh all-time high. Strong IPOX momentum continued to extend to firms domiciled outside the U.S. with the diversified IPOX International (ETF: FPXI) adding +3.35% to +14.33% YTD, its 8th consecutive weekly gain, and up +10.69% for May. All global regions represented in the portfolio drove returns, including China (CNI), Developed Asia-Pacific (IPTA), Europe (IXTE, IPND) and Japan (IPJP). Gains were broad-based across market-cap spectrum and industries, led by Asia-Pacific key tech plays Sea (SE US: +43.58%), Meituan Dianping (3690 HK: +41.33%), Pinduoduo (PDD US: +40.96%), Freee KK (4478 JP: +39.29%) and Mercari (4385 JP: +18.32%), followed by specialty exposure linked to diverse other industries including Danish drug maker Genmab (GMAB US: +25.24%), Brazil Financial XP (XP US: +20.67%) and leading global energy plays Orsted (ORSTED DC: +14.29%) and Saudi Arabian Oil (ARAMCO AB: +4.27%).

IPOX International ETF (FPXI)-Investing since 11/2015

Long-only IPOX® Indexes Price Returns (%) Last Week 2019 2020 YTD
IPOX® Indexes: Global/International
IPOX® Global (IPGL50) (USD) 12.23 27.93 12.79
IPOX® International (IPXI)* (USD) (ETF: FPXI) 10.69 31.37 14.33
IPOX® Indexes: United States
IPOX® 100 U.S. (IPXO)* (USD) (ETF: FPX) 11.26 29.60 0.38
IPOX® ESG (IPXT) (USD) 7.13
IPOX® Indexes: Europe/Nordic
IPOX® 30 Europe (IXTE) (EUR) 11.99 34.55 15.03
IPOX® Nordic (IPND) 15.29 38.52 14.71
IPOX® 100 Europe (IPOE)* (USD) 9.52 30.97 3.02
IPOX® Indexes: Asia-Pacific/China
IPOX® Asia-Pacific (IPTA) (USD) 10.67 4.41 9.23
IPOX® China (CNI) (USD) 7.79 26.31 14.52
IPOX® Japan (IPJP)** (JPY) 13.00 37.91 -3.10

* Basis for ETFs: FPX US, FPX LN, FPXE US, FPXU FP, FPXI US, TCIP110 IT and CME-traded e-mini IPOX® 100 U.S. Futures (IPOM0). Source: Bloomberg L.P. & Refinitiv/Thomson Reuters. For IPOX Alternative Strategies Returns, please contact info@ipox.com

NOW TRADING: 0.25 tick IPOX 100 U.S. Index Futures (Front month: IPOM0). Whether you are a risk manager or speculator, CME Group – the world’s largest exchange operator – now offers efficient and cost-effective access to the IPOX 100 U.S. Index (ETF: FPX) via emini IPOX 100 U.S. Index Futures (Front month: IPOM0). Contact info@ipox.com for further info and Free Data & Resources.

IPOX-linked ETFs (FPX, FPXI, FPXE) Movers (May 2020 in %):
MYOKARDIA (FPX) 62.83 ARVINAS (FPX) -36.63
LIVONGO HEALTH (FPX) 49.79 HAPAG-LLOYD (FPXE) -34.07
ARGENX (FPXE) 49.70 COUNTRYSIDE (FPXE) -28.23
APPFOLIO (FPX) 44.28 GSX TECHEDU (FPXI) -20.73
SEA (FPXI) 43.58 AIB GROUP (FPXE) -20.08
REDFIN (FPX) 41.93 KOOLEARN TECH. (FPXI) -16.84
MEITUAN DIANPING (FPXI) 41.33 CHINA FEIHE (FPXI) -13.37
PINDUODUO (FPXI) 40.96 COOR SERVICE (FPXE) -10.08
FREEE KK (FPXI) 39.29 ROKU (FPX) -9.67
KINSALE CAPITAL (FPX) 37.47 GILEAD SCIENCES (FPX) -7.35

IPO Deal-flow Review and Outlook: JDE Peet’s surges in Amsterdam $2.4 billion debut. ZoomInfo lined up. With no U.S. IPOs taking place during the shortened U.S. trading week, focus was on deals in Europe with JAB’s coffee empire JDE Peet’s (JDEP NA: +13.78%) and German analytic database management firm Exasol (EXL GR: +35.58%) debuting strongly. With the global IPO window now open, the world’s third-largest record label Warner Music Group (WMG US), business-intelligence platform ZoomInfo Technologies (ZI US), fibrosis biopharma Pliant Therapeutics (PLRX US) and J&J-backed GenScript cell therapy unit spin-off Legend Biotech (LEGN US) are scheduled to list in the U.S. this week, while Tencent-backed payment platform Yeahka (9923 HK) is set to launch with over 600x oversubscription in Hong Kong. Other IPO news include: 1) Brookfield-backed WeWork rival Industrious poised for IPO; 2) Germany OTC drug maker PharmaSGP plans Frankfurt listing; 3) U.S.-listed NetEase and JD.com to list in Hong Kong in upcoming weeks; 4) multiple biotechs added to the U.S. pipeline including Avidity Biosciences Generation Bio, Progenity and Vaxcyte.

The post The IPOX® Week, June 1, 2020 appeared first on Low Cost Stock & Options Trading | Advanced Online Stock Trading | Lightspeed |.



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Smartphone Slumber, or Smartphone Surge?

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Despite many industries being  affected in recent months due to a global pandemic, smartphone releases aren’t slowing down. Apple recently launched a more affordable iPhone SE, complete with formidable features for a fraction of its $1,000+ flagship models—and another phone is in the works for the tech giant with an expected reveal soon. Similarly, Samsung hosted an event in San Francisco in February to ship its Galaxy smartphone. But as the product supply keeps churning out new devices, will there be demand? 

While we can try to look at past recessions to establish a benchmark for how things may progress, our last economic decline in 2008 cannot provide a proper guide as to how this one may affect mobile device sales. More than a decade ago, devices weren’t nearly as vital as they are today when it comes to connectivity—both personally and professionally. So, on one hand, unemployment rates are surging and creating a deficit in durable spending, which includes gadgets. On the other hand, mobile devices today can easily be considered more vital and advanced than they were 10+ years ago, which has been proven in recent months.

With businesses and organizations of all types closed around the world, one of the emerging trends has been the work-from-home model. As the world adapts to different methods of communication, industries are discovering that working remotely may actually be feasible—not just on an as-needed basis, but as a permanent staple: CRN recently reported that “About 74 percent of CFOs surveyed by Gartner expect some of their employees who were forced to work from home because of the COVID-19 coronavirus pandemic to continue working remotely after the pandemic ends.” As CFOs find ways to manage costs, a remote workforce—which reduces on-premises technology and real estate needs—is a great way to cut expenses. And if they move forward with a permanently remote workforce, they may need to make significant investments in devices for their employees, which could be good for brands.

Another side of the technological coin is the one that factors in the quality and life cycle of a device—so as consumers look to upgrade, they may be willing to spend more on a device that will last longer, extending its lifespan. Prior to the pandemic, global smartphone shipments had been in decline, as consumers were holding on to their phones longer. But if there’s still innovation happening, there’s a mixed batch in the market for different needs, all of which can be fulfilled:

  • Innovation will continue, creating a wave of trade-ins 
  • Consumers who may want an upgrade but don’t want the newest device can purchase a used device 
  • Both of these alternatives can offer carriers and manufacturers options for how they deal with devices

Over the next several months, we’ll see how the mobile market responds to the aftermath of the pandemic, as well as to new phone releases. 

In the meantime, there’s a secondary mobile marketthat larger carriers and OEMs can leverage to move their trade-in and excess devices. One of these channels is B-Stock. We operate the world’s largest B2B marketplace for trade-in and excess mobile phones.  Across our client marketplaces—which consist of large carriers, OEMs, and buy-back companies—we sell more than 3 million phones and more than 5 million mobile accessories every year.

For more information on selling via our mobile marketplace platform, please download our Mobile Brochure. And If you want to learn more about secondary market trends and how large carriers, OEMs, and buy-back companies are increasing the life cycle and pricing of phones via B-Stock’s B2B marketplace platform, request a demo. 

Request Demo

 

 

The post Smartphone Slumber, or Smartphone Surge? appeared first on B-Stock Solutions.



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Economic Package Part 2: Quick Takeaways

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Hon. Finance Minister announced a series of liquidity measures under Part 2 of Economic Package on 13th May 2020.

The key highlights of Part 2 package are in bold, followed by our opinion:

Upto Rs. 3 Lakh Crore for MSME with Credit Guarantee from Government.

The current outstanding amount of MSME loans is around Rs. 18 Lakh Crore. Other loans against assets excluded. Additional line of Rs. 3 Lakh Crore’s unsecured loans can help the companies restart their business. 45 lakh MSME eligible for this loan facility. These firms employ close to 12 Crore people.

Additional Rs. 20,000 Cr for stressed MSME

Around 2 Lakh MSME are under stress meaning they are either overleveraged or they have delayed interest payments/NPA. This provides relief to banks and NBFC that may have high NPA due to SME.

Liquidity for NBFC

Special liquidity of Rs. 30,000 Cr to NBFC/HFC to all investment-grade paper with a government guarantee. Additionally, another Rs. 45,000 Cr to all NBFC with a partial guarantee by the government up to 20%. Many banking experts believe this could be inadequate.

Many NBFCs lend to last-mile borrowers either in non-traditional segments or remote areas or low rated borrowers. NBFC didn’t have funds to lend, which led to a collapse in demand for end borrowers. Banks were reluctant to lend because of risks in NBFC. Since the government is now offering liquidity and partial guarantee, funds will flow to reasonably good NBFC and hence the end borrower.

Liquidity for Discom with state’s guarantee to borrower

Discoms have Rs. 90,000 Cr in dues towards generation and transmission companies. Relief for generation companies to carry on their business. Many industry experts believe there needs to be reform in the power sector instead of the current stopgap arrangement.

25% cut in TDS, TCS

TDS and TCS cut of 25% on payments for contracts, professional fees, interest, rent, dividend, commission, and brokerage. This provides liquidity to businesses, individuals, and investors. The total expected liquidity in hand will be approx. Rs. 50,000 Cr.

Current measures are mostly liquidity measures and may have temporary relief to restart a business. However, more reforms/stimulus is needed to fix the demand side of the economy which got affected due to i) job losses/salary cuts ii) reluctance to purchases from poor sentiment.

Many of these measures may not have desired implications unless we start seeing economic activity reinstated. Our interpretation of potential benefits is based on the fact that the economy will be reopened in a reasonable time.

We will be hearing series announcements in the coming days. We will be sharing quick takeaways with our interpretation.

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The post Economic Package Part 2: Quick Takeaways appeared first on Investment Shastra.



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