In this post, you’ll learn how to use the best simple swing trading strategies, how to look for stocks to trade, and some of the best setups for generating profits.
Essentially, swing trading is a method that’s accessible to new traders, so it’s a great skill set to have in your repertoire. alt
The swing trading strategies are fairly easy to grasp, and this style of trading doesn’t require the same urgency and split-second decision making required in day trading.
For many people, swing trading is the perfect way to ease into trading, and can help build good habits that will serve you no matter which other directions your future investing takes you.
Here’s an introduction to swing trading — what it is, how to look for stocks to trade, and some of the best setups & swing trading strategies for generating profits.
Download a PDF version of this post as PDF.
What is Swing Trading?
First things first: What, exactly, is swing trading?
Essentially, swing trading is a method of trading where you only hold the stocks for a short period of time.
However, unlike day trading, where you move in and out of a trade within the same day, swing trading positions can last anywhere from two days to a couple of weeks.
The idea is that you’re holding on to the stock to profit from price changes or ‘swings’. These swings in the price change are where this style of trading gets its name.
Why Swing Trading?
What’s so great about swing trading? Well, several things …
First, swing trading is an accessible method for even new traders. While the pace is fast, it’s not as fast as day trading. This means that it allows a little more time to think out your process and make educated decisions with your trades.
For many, the quick pace of day trading can prove a little bit overwhelming at first. Swing Trading can be a great entry to day trading, and a strong trading practice in general.
This doesn’t mean that it’s totally relaxed. But you’re only holding on to the stock for a few days or weeks, so it offers potential profits that exceed taking longer positions on a trade.
And since you’re only holding on to the stock for a short period of time, you can take advantage of the market volatility and potentially gain assertive profits from trades in a relatively short window.
Another benefit of the short term involved is that it allows traders to zero in on the work involved in coordinating entry and exit of the trade. Many traders find it easier to really focus on the trade at hand for the full duration of the time they hold onto the stock, since it’s relatively short lived.
Often, when you take longer positions, you can forget about the stock or it can be easy to stop being diligent, so it’s easy to lose track of what’s going on in the market and miss your opportune moment to exit the trade.
Put more bluntly, it’s easy to get lazy with longer positions. The short time period involved in swing trading helps guarantee that you’ll stay on the ball about things.
What is the Goal of Swing Trading?
Obviously, the primary goal is to earn profits. But how is that achieved?
The goal is for you to find stocks that are poised to make a movement over the course of several days, weeks or months — not just minutes or hours — and then capture these gains by trading within the trend.
To find these stocks, it’s your responsibility to employ technical analysis and research so that you can identify trends and catalysts that will ideally improve your chances of making profitable trades.
How to Profit With Swing Trading
To profit with swing trading, you must choose stocks with movement that will gain you profits as they fluctuate or swing in value.
The traditional model of investing is ‘buy low, sell high’. Simple as that is, it’s the most traditional way to profit.
You begin by identifying a stock that is gaining. Then you get really obsessed about it. You research the stock, pore over its chart, survey its history, and research potential catalysts that could be affecting the stock’s movement.
If, through your research, you determine that you’ve found a stock that still has room to continue gaining, you can invest, hold on to the stock for a short period of time, and determine when to sell so that you can profit.
Of course, to do this you must be disciplined and think about your entry and exit before you even trade. You’ve got to aim for the “just right” Goldilocks zone — where you don’t hold on too long, but not too short a period of time, either.
Yes, it’s easier said than done, particularly when your emotions get in the way.
You can also profit by combining short selling with swing trading. In this scenario, you’re basically going for the opposite phenomenon of the ‘buy low, sell high’ approach. You’re looking for stocks that you can try to predict losing big so that you can profit as they go down. (To learn more about short selling, check out this post.)
Whether you’re seeking gainers or losers, the most important aspect of profiting from this is choosing the right stocks.
Some of the best companies for swing trading are those with high trade volume. By volume, that means the amount of stocks that are being bought or sold each day. For swing traders, these constant price fluctuations — even if by small amounts — can be beneficial.
The market also matters. When the market is operating in an extreme, be it bullish or bearish, it can prove difficult. During extreme times, stocks aren’t as easy to track; the stability isn’t there to help you plot out a clear course of action.
In an extreme market, momentum can make stocks do things that are out of the ordinary. This makes it hard to determine patterns. Since I’m all about patterns, I don’t think those are ideal conditions.
Times of market stability are the best times for profiting from this approach. It’s when you can do solid research and determine a stock’s history and potential future. This allows you to catch short-term movements with more of a sense of security.
Determining the market sentiment can prove challenging, particularly to new traders. However, with time, practice, tons of studying, and experience, it will become easier.
Swing Trading vs. Day Trading
Still unclear on the difference between swing trading and day trading? Let’s tackle this now, because while swing trading bears some similarities to day trading, there are several important differences.
One of the biggest differences is timing.
- In day trading, you hold a stock for a very short period of time; it might be minutes or hours, but won’t be more than a day.
- With swing trading, you might hold a stock for a few days to a few weeks, or even several months.
Another one of the big differences is trend awareness. In this way, swing trading can be more like trend trading, where you take a long, hard look at the fundamentals that trends play into the value of a stock, and based on that info, hold the stock.
3 Of The Best Swing Trade Trading Strategies
While there are endless variations of swing trading strategies, several tried-and-true setups are considered traditional swing trading strategies.
Here are some of the important ones you should know.
The 1st of the 3 swing trading strategies is the breakout. The breakout strategy is an approach where you take a position on the early side of the uptrend.
Here, you monitor a stock, and when it has a desired level of movement and volatility and breaks a key point of support or resistance (i.e. it falls within a defined price range), you get into the trade.
Support, resistance, and volume are key. Of course, you’ll also monitor catalysts and other factors that might affect the price of a stock — those are important strategy facets.
The setup is a key starting point to enter a trade and benefit from future increases in volatility and price swings.
The 2nd of my recommended swing strategies is known as a breakdown. Essentially, A breakdown is the opposite of a breakout, where the stock price moves below a defined support level. With a breakdown, the chart points toward lower prices, and you monitor the same fundamentals.
Coming in 3rd, but not least – Swing trading with options can be a great strategy, particularly if you’re looking for leverage on your investment.
By exercising trading with options, you’re gaining the ‘option’ to buy or sell later if certain criteria are met within a defined time period. You put in a call option or a put option depending on whether you’re buying or selling.
Only commit to the trade if your desired levels are met. For this peace of mind, you have to shell out an advance or down payment of sorts. If you don’t exercise your option within the time window specified, you’ll lose this initial payment. However, it’s less of a loss than if you made the full investment.
Setup of a Profitable Chart
What should you look for in a profitable chart? Let’s break it down.
Moving averages are an important factor in determining support and resistance levels. They can also help you determine the current climate of the market. There are two key types of moving averages.
- Simple moving average (SMA): The SMA can help you determine the current climate of the market. Is it bullish or bearish? You can also learn support and resistance levels as well as price points, which can help you decide where and when to enter and exit a trade.
- Exponential moving averages (EMA): This variation looks at trend signals. It can help you determine your entry and exit points based on trends, which can help further refine your entry and exit points and plot a clear-cut trading plan.
A stock’s float can be influential in helping you decide whether it’s a wise investment for you.
The float is the number of shares that are available for public trading. But don’t confuse it with the shares outstanding — that figure includes restricted shares.
You’re aiming for the Goldilocks zone again here. You don’t want an excessive float, because when a massive float is happening, it’s harder for the stock to move in a way that will make you profits. A stock that has a smaller supply of shares is more likely to show more impressive action and movement.
A too-low float can also inhibit movement. If a stock isn’t highly traded, it may not be able to gain the movement you’d like.
Short interest can help expand your knowledge before making a swing trade. It’s a ratio that compares the number of floating shares to the number of shares short.
Often, short interest is calculated on a monthly basis, but there’s no truly accurate source of data for this so it’s more of a guessing game. It includes all shares that have been sold short.
So why does that matter? Because a high short interest may be an indication that the market is trending toward bearish with this stock. However, if the stock has a low price and a high short interest, this could be a warning sign that a short squeeze is occurring.
If a stock has a relatively high short interest that can be cross-referenced with a positive catalyst, this might give you a sign that short sellers want to cover themselves in this situation. This could affect the stock price.
Looking at volatility is key in determining a swing trade setup. Volatility is the liability to change rapidly and unpredictably, especially for the worse.
In the stock market, volatility generally implies greater risk, which means higher odds of a loss. However, risk can also lead to reward, so it’s important to look at a stock’s volatility in conjunction with other aspects such as catalysts and other fundamental data.
5 Key Tips for Success with these Swing Trading Strategies
Here are some of my top tips for those who want to get started in this world.
1.) Limit Losses
I live and die by this rule: Cut stock losses quickly.
Obviously, I don’t want to lose anything. But if it becomes clear that a trade isn’t working, I’m quick to get out.
Say that I’m shorting a stock and expecting a morning panic the next day. If there’s no panic, yet my inbox has a press release from the company that’s serving to pump up the stock and squeeze the shorts and the stock starts going up, then I’m out.
It’s not about prospecting or holding on hoping to salvage a trade. I look to patterns, not hunches. Don’t try to be a hero — if things aren’t working out for you, in a swing trade or in any trade, cut losses.
2.) Never Risk More Than 1% Per Trade
I constantly tell my students to focus on small-but-reliable profits.
Not every trade has to be a home run. In fact, the smaller hits can add up to bigger gains over time. So I generally don’t advocate taking large positions.
There’s a commonly held idea that traders should not risk more than 1 percent of their total account on a single trade.
If you stick to this idea, it can keep losses small. Though it might also keep gains small, they can amount over time. If you have a small account, 1 percent might be a drop in the bucket, so in this case, it could be safe to consider upping the limit to 10–20 percent. Don’t go beyond your comfort level.
3.) Mental Stops
A mental stop is the art of making an internal decision about when you’ll exit a trade or investment.
Consider a mental stop a promise that you make to yourself.
Having this plan in place and using mental stops when trading can help reduce your potential losses. If you’re able to remain true to the promise you made to yourself, it will help keep you from becoming too emotional or making bad decisions in your trade.
Mental stops can also help you cut your losses. Use them.
4.) Make Sure to Watch the Stock’s Historical Volatility
The best way to determine future volatility is to look at historical volatility. You can calculate historical volatility by using a mathematical equation. This book includes a helpful step-by-step process on how to easily do this in Excel.
To summarize the steps necessary to determine a stock’s historical volatility, here’s what you need to do:
Step 1: Assemble the historical data in a spreadsheet. Put together the stock’s past performance.
Step 2: Calculate the logarithmic returns. This might sound difficult, but it’s not. As you’ll see in the book’s tutorial, it’s just a calculation based on the ratio of closing price and the closing price the day before.
Step 3: Calculate the standard deviation. Now you calculate the deviation of the daily returns. This helps you begin to see the stock’s volatility over time.
Step 4: Annualize the historical volatility. You’ve already calculated the daily volatility. Now multiply it by the square root of the number of days of potential trading per year. Done!
5.) Stick to Your Plan
Entry, exit, research, calculating risk …
If you’ve gained anything from this post so far, hopefully it’s the fact that to find success as a swing trader, you have to be on top of your research so that you can be extremely calculated about the trade.
You must consider your entry, exit, potential losses, and to be prepared to cut losses quickly if needed.
All of this is well and good, but as I — and most traders who have been at it for a while — know, things can get emotional in the heat of a trade.
So in a way, this rule becomes more important than any other: You must stick to your plan.
Make a trading plan and stick to it. Otherwise all of your hard work can go to waste and you can suffer losses. Sure, you could learn your lesson the hard way, but why not just stick to the plan?
How Do You Shortlist Stocks from Thousands of Stocks?
There are literally myriad stocks out there competing for your attention. How do you decide which ones are worthy of your attention?
This requires time, effort, and education. The StocksToTrade software can also help — in a big way.
What Is the Best Way to Learn These Strategies?
The best method to learn the swing trading strategies l’ve covered here is by pursuing a trading education.
While this article covers the basics and might help you decide if you’re interested in pursuing this style of trading, if you really want to dive in, you’ve got to commit to educating yourself.
Who is Timothy Sykes?
I’m a trading teacher. My college experience was probably different from yours: I turned $12,415 in Bar Mitzvah gift money into $2 million and started a hedge fund during my senior year at Tulane.
After years of trading and running a hedge fund, I came to realize that my knowledge of trading is the best thing I can offer to others.
Experience led me to create Profit.ly, a community of traders who share their performance and trades openly (see ALL my trades here) to help each other learn and improve. Moreover, there’s .com. Check it out.
Today, I’m still a trader — but my primary focus is teaching and mentoring trading students.
My goal: to teach you how to forge a sustainable, long-term career as a day trader. My team and I strive to educate you on all sorts of different trading styles so that you can diversify and remain nimble in the market.
The Bottom Line
Swing trading can be a fantastic way for new traders to get their feet wet.
While I wouldn’t go so far as to say swing trading is easy, it’s one of the easier methods of trading to wrap your head around. Many traders find the concepts easy to grasp.
But, if you consider the pace, and the fact that it often rewards routine and research, AND the potential profits, you’ll understand why this type of trading is widely considered a worthwhile trading style for old and new traders alike.
Have you tried swing trading?
Let us know in the comments below!
The post The 3 Best Swing Trading Strategies That Actually Work! appeared first on Timothy Sykes.
The IPOX® Week, June 1, 2020
- Everything IPOX records big returns during May as investors flock to the New Generation of stocks.
- FANG-free, broad-based IPOX 100 U.S. (ETF: FPX) jumps +11.26%. Diversified IPOX International (ETF: FPXI) rises to +14.33% YTD, closes week at fresh all-time high.
- JDE Peet’s strong Amsterdam debut, ZoomInfo lined up.
Everything IPOX records big returns during May as investors flock to the New Generation of stocks. Amid stable U.S. yields, lower equity risk (VIX: -2.31%), geo-political jitters, declining global anxiety over Covid-19 and the S&P 500 (SPX) zooming through big technical resistance, IPOX finished May with another strong showing, with multiple Indexes closing out the month at or near all-time highs. In the U.S., e.g., the FANG-free, broad-based IPOX 100 U.S. (ETF: FPX) jumped +3.28% last week to gain +11.26% during May, a massive +673 bps. ahead of the S&P 500 (SPX), benchmark for U.S. stocks. The IPOX 100 U.S. (ETF: FPX) also finished out the month by recording its first positive YTD close since Feb. 26, 2020, as late-day positioning amid previously delayed index rebalancing’s propelled IPOX holdings which are typically underrepresented in the benchmarks. 88% of portfolio constituents rose during May, with the equally-weighted average (median) stock adding a massive +13.96% (+11.52%), ahead of the applied market-cap weighted IPOX 100 U.S. (ETF: FPX) and underlying the big strength in small- and mid-cap specialty exposure in light of a good month for the Russell 2000 (RTY), which gained +6.36% to -16.45% YTD.
Diversified IPOX International (ETF: FPXI) rises to +14.33% YTD, closes week at fresh all-time high. Strong IPOX momentum continued to extend to firms domiciled outside the U.S. with the diversified IPOX International (ETF: FPXI) adding +3.35% to +14.33% YTD, its 8th consecutive weekly gain, and up +10.69% for May. All global regions represented in the portfolio drove returns, including China (CNI), Developed Asia-Pacific (IPTA), Europe (IXTE, IPND) and Japan (IPJP). Gains were broad-based across market-cap spectrum and industries, led by Asia-Pacific key tech plays Sea (SE US: +43.58%), Meituan Dianping (3690 HK: +41.33%), Pinduoduo (PDD US: +40.96%), Freee KK (4478 JP: +39.29%) and Mercari (4385 JP: +18.32%), followed by specialty exposure linked to diverse other industries including Danish drug maker Genmab (GMAB US: +25.24%), Brazil Financial XP (XP US: +20.67%) and leading global energy plays Orsted (ORSTED DC: +14.29%) and Saudi Arabian Oil (ARAMCO AB: +4.27%).
IPOX International ETF (FPXI)-Investing since 11/2015
|Long-only IPOX® Indexes Price Returns (%)||Last Week||2019||2020 YTD|
|IPOX® Indexes: Global/International|
|IPOX® Global (IPGL50) (USD)||12.23||27.93||12.79|
|IPOX® International (IPXI)* (USD) (ETF: FPXI)||10.69||31.37||14.33|
|IPOX® Indexes: United States|
|IPOX® 100 U.S. (IPXO)* (USD) (ETF: FPX)||11.26||29.60||0.38|
|IPOX® ESG (IPXT) (USD)||7.13||–||–|
|IPOX® Indexes: Europe/Nordic|
|IPOX® 30 Europe (IXTE) (EUR)||11.99||34.55||15.03|
|IPOX® Nordic (IPND)||15.29||38.52||14.71|
|IPOX® 100 Europe (IPOE)* (USD)||9.52||30.97||3.02|
|IPOX® Indexes: Asia-Pacific/China|
|IPOX® Asia-Pacific (IPTA) (USD)||10.67||4.41||9.23|
|IPOX® China (CNI) (USD)||7.79||26.31||14.52|
|IPOX® Japan (IPJP)** (JPY)||13.00||37.91||-3.10|
* Basis for ETFs: FPX US, FPX LN, FPXE US, FPXU FP, FPXI US, TCIP110 IT and CME-traded e-mini IPOX® 100 U.S. Futures (IPOM0). Source: Bloomberg L.P. & Refinitiv/Thomson Reuters. For IPOX Alternative Strategies Returns, please contact email@example.com
NOW TRADING: 0.25 tick IPOX 100 U.S. Index Futures (Front month: IPOM0). Whether you are a risk manager or speculator, CME Group – the world’s largest exchange operator – now offers efficient and cost-effective access to the IPOX 100 U.S. Index (ETF: FPX) via emini IPOX 100 U.S. Index Futures (Front month: IPOM0). Contact firstname.lastname@example.org for further info and Free Data & Resources.
|MYOKARDIA (FPX)||62.83||ARVINAS (FPX)||-36.63|
|LIVONGO HEALTH (FPX)||49.79||HAPAG-LLOYD (FPXE)||-34.07|
|ARGENX (FPXE)||49.70||COUNTRYSIDE (FPXE)||-28.23|
|APPFOLIO (FPX)||44.28||GSX TECHEDU (FPXI)||-20.73|
|SEA (FPXI)||43.58||AIB GROUP (FPXE)||-20.08|
|REDFIN (FPX)||41.93||KOOLEARN TECH. (FPXI)||-16.84|
|MEITUAN DIANPING (FPXI)||41.33||CHINA FEIHE (FPXI)||-13.37|
|PINDUODUO (FPXI)||40.96||COOR SERVICE (FPXE)||-10.08|
|FREEE KK (FPXI)||39.29||ROKU (FPX)||-9.67|
|KINSALE CAPITAL (FPX)||37.47||GILEAD SCIENCES (FPX)||-7.35|
IPO Deal-flow Review and Outlook: JDE Peet’s surges in Amsterdam $2.4 billion debut. ZoomInfo lined up. With no U.S. IPOs taking place during the shortened U.S. trading week, focus was on deals in Europe with JAB’s coffee empire JDE Peet’s (JDEP NA: +13.78%) and German analytic database management firm Exasol (EXL GR: +35.58%) debuting strongly. With the global IPO window now open, the world’s third-largest record label Warner Music Group (WMG US), business-intelligence platform ZoomInfo Technologies (ZI US), fibrosis biopharma Pliant Therapeutics (PLRX US) and J&J-backed GenScript cell therapy unit spin-off Legend Biotech (LEGN US) are scheduled to list in the U.S. this week, while Tencent-backed payment platform Yeahka (9923 HK) is set to launch with over 600x oversubscription in Hong Kong. Other IPO news include: 1) Brookfield-backed WeWork rival Industrious poised for IPO; 2) Germany OTC drug maker PharmaSGP plans Frankfurt listing; 3) U.S.-listed NetEase and JD.com to list in Hong Kong in upcoming weeks; 4) multiple biotechs added to the U.S. pipeline including Avidity Biosciences Generation Bio, Progenity and Vaxcyte.
The post The IPOX® Week, June 1, 2020 appeared first on Low Cost Stock & Options Trading | Advanced Online Stock Trading | Lightspeed |.
Retail Resilience is More than Immediate Recovery—It’s Planning Ahead
One of the many things the current situation has taught businesses worldwide is that in addition to consumer dependency, the supply chain is incredibly fragile. And, a global pandemic that interrupts the proper flow of products today will create a different challenge down the road; one that completely devastates the market. In the immediate post-pandemic landscape, a plan to offload excess inventory that accumulated due to store closures is necessary. But what about the rest of the year?
The ‘What If’ of the Supply Chain
Now more than ever, it’s imperative to have a backup plan for excess stock. This will guarantee that retailers and brands have an inventory management system in play, should usual sales channels be affected. There’s a fine line to walk between meeting consumer demand and accounting for extra—and when something out of the norm affects all the stops involved, an alternative is not only nice to have; it can make the difference between company survival or demise.
The Clearing of the Warehouse
Trends come and go, as does inventory. How do you make room for new arrivals every season? By clearing out your warehouse—and sustainably, at that. In recent months, partnerships have formed between brands all over the globe that cater to taking care of the planet. There’s a whole market ready to be tapped into—one that supports and contributes to the circular economy that extends the lifecycle of millions of products. We call it the secondary market.
The Model that Supports it All
If the last few years showed an upward trend toward earth-friendly initiatives and the growth of the secondary market, the current landscape has likely shown its necessity. With the world watching and options dwindling, now is the best time to enter this exploding market and take advantage of what it has to offer in terms of recovery, velocity, and sustainability. B-Stock works this way. We help retailers and brands offload their excess inventory via a B2B online auction platform on which thousands of vetted business buyers from all over the world purchase goods. We create these auction marketplaces scaled to each company’s needs, allowing them to set the pace at which they sell, and who they sell to—protecting their brand name. It’s why nine out of the top 10 U.S. retailers are currently using our online auction B2B marketplaces to sell their excess and returned goods.
Learn more about how we’re helping the earth, one item at a time, by checking out our recent Earth Day article. And if you’re ready to take advantage of the secondary market for your overstock, request a demo.
The post Retail Resilience is More than Immediate Recovery—It’s Planning Ahead appeared first on B-Stock Solutions.
Economic Package Part 2: Quick Takeaways
Hon. Finance Minister announced a series of liquidity measures under Part 2 of Economic Package on 13th May 2020.
The key highlights of Part 2 package are in bold, followed by our opinion:
Upto Rs. 3 Lakh Crore for MSME with Credit Guarantee from Government.
The current outstanding amount of MSME loans is around Rs. 18 Lakh Crore. Other loans against assets excluded. Additional line of Rs. 3 Lakh Crore’s unsecured loans can help the companies restart their business. 45 lakh MSME eligible for this loan facility. These firms employ close to 12 Crore people.
Additional Rs. 20,000 Cr for stressed MSME
Around 2 Lakh MSME are under stress meaning they are either overleveraged or they have delayed interest payments/NPA. This provides relief to banks and NBFC that may have high NPA due to SME.
Liquidity for NBFC
Special liquidity of Rs. 30,000 Cr to NBFC/HFC to all investment-grade paper with a government guarantee. Additionally, another Rs. 45,000 Cr to all NBFC with a partial guarantee by the government up to 20%. Many banking experts believe this could be inadequate.
Many NBFCs lend to last-mile borrowers either in non-traditional segments or remote areas or low rated borrowers. NBFC didn’t have funds to lend, which led to a collapse in demand for end borrowers. Banks were reluctant to lend because of risks in NBFC. Since the government is now offering liquidity and partial guarantee, funds will flow to reasonably good NBFC and hence the end borrower.
Liquidity for Discom with state’s guarantee to borrower
Discoms have Rs. 90,000 Cr in dues towards generation and transmission companies. Relief for generation companies to carry on their business. Many industry experts believe there needs to be reform in the power sector instead of the current stopgap arrangement.
25% cut in TDS, TCS
TDS and TCS cut of 25% on payments for contracts, professional fees, interest, rent, dividend, commission, and brokerage. This provides liquidity to businesses, individuals, and investors. The total expected liquidity in hand will be approx. Rs. 50,000 Cr.
Current measures are mostly liquidity measures and may have temporary relief to restart a business. However, more reforms/stimulus is needed to fix the demand side of the economy which got affected due to i) job losses/salary cuts ii) reluctance to purchases from poor sentiment.
Many of these measures may not have desired implications unless we start seeing economic activity reinstated. Our interpretation of potential benefits is based on the fact that the economy will be reopened in a reasonable time.
We will be hearing series announcements in the coming days. We will be sharing quick takeaways with our interpretation.
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The IPOX® Week, June 1, 2020
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